Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.051826 0.060398 0.069811 0.080895 0.093570 0.107592 0.124259
2025-05-04 0.038558 0.049673 0.063004 0.080094 0.101338 0.126788 0.159487
2025-05-11 0.030020 0.042258 0.058113 0.079989 0.109184 0.146577 0.197825
2025-05-18 0.023379 0.035673 0.052754 0.077915 0.113664 0.162189 0.232495
2025-05-25 0.018723 0.030752 0.048557 0.076369 0.118135 0.177795 0.268508
2025-06-01 0.015708 0.027583 0.046191 0.076821 0.125129 0.197282 0.311685
2025-06-08 0.012886 0.024127 0.042726 0.074895 0.128009 0.210695 0.346965
2025-06-15 0.011651 0.023073 0.042882 0.078637 0.140028 0.239015 0.407544
2025-06-22 0.010041 0.021031 0.041008 0.078612 0.145703 0.257637 0.454303
2025-06-29 0.008442 0.018697 0.038222 0.076521 0.147454 0.269772 0.491289
2025-07-06 0.007257 0.016947 0.036219 0.075516 0.150867 0.284835 0.534303
2025-07-13 0.006799 0.016615 0.036886 0.079597 0.163936 0.317782 0.611017
2025-07-20 0.006238 0.015988 0.036916 0.082535 0.175366 0.349196 0.688456
2025-07-27 0.005319 0.014367 0.034637 0.080489 0.176894 0.362596 0.734369
2025-08-03 0.004641 0.013180 0.033105 0.079777 0.180967 0.381098 0.791347
2025-08-10 0.003952 0.011820 0.030958 0.077416 0.181317 0.392349 0.835329
2025-08-17 0.003408 0.010719 0.029232 0.075735 0.182865 0.406014 0.885050
2025-08-24 0.003052 0.010054 0.028449 0.076113 0.188899 0.429228 0.955619
2025-08-31 0.002631 0.009106 0.026796 0.074168 0.189468 0.441071 1.003840
2025-09-07 0.002508 0.009028 0.027396 0.077859 0.203400 0.482431 1.116717
2025-09-14 0.002246 0.008456 0.026574 0.077825 0.208526 0.505114 1.191672
2025-09-21 0.001944 0.007679 0.025053 0.075750 0.208474 0.516313 1.242653
2025-09-28 0.001716 0.007098 0.023991 0.074751 0.210950 0.533367 1.307745